Video length: 2 min.
France passed the threshold of 5,000 people hospitalized in intensive care on Tuesday, March 30, ie the peak of the second wave in November. The Public Assistance of Paris Hospitals (AP-HP) has published its projections, which reveal the possibility of reaching record figures in Île-de-France within three weeks.
Patient after patient, Daniel Da Silva, doctor in charge of intensive care, sees his department at the Delafontaine hospital in Saint-Denis (Seine-Saint-Denis) fill up day by day. The sick who enter are more numerous than those who leave. “We had to open eight additional critical beds, and out of all of these 26 beds, 20 are dedicated to Covid patients”, He explains. All the resuscitations in Île-de-France are complete, and it has only just begun.
In Île-de-France, 1,484 people are currently hospitalized in these services. But according to projections by the Public Assistance of Paris Hospitals (AP-HP), in three weeks, 3,470 people could be hospitalized in critical care, more than double, in the case of confinement. strict announced Thursday April 1. If the government waits another week to reconfigure, it would be even worse: on April 29, there could be 4,466 people in the services of Île-de-France, a record.
“The AP-HP took the most pessimistic hypothesis to realize its model. Their numbers are probably overestimated, but just a little overestimated”, Estimates Jean-Stéphane Dhersin, modeler at the National Institute of Mathematical Sciences. The effects of the braking measures should be visible within 48 hours, according to the Minister of Health, Olivier Véran.
Source site www.francetvinfo.fr