IS surveyed various incidence figures for the largest cities in Finland. In particular, the one-week review period raises hopes of a decline in the figures.
Government is preparing a law to restrict movement in limited areas in Finland. Prime minister Sanna Marin (sd) said in parliament on Friday that restrictions will not come into force if they are no longer absolutely necessary when deciding on the matter.
At a THL press conference on Thursday, it was reported that the number of new detected corona cases fell slightly last week for the first time in more than a month. Although the nationwide growth of the epidemic has so far leveled off, according to THL, infections are still very high.
So in what direction is the disease situation progressing right now?
IS collected quite recent incidence rates from major cities. The study focused on those cities that have been featured in targeting mobility restrictions. Tampere was also included as a reference city.
Incidence refers to the number of confirmed corona cases per 100,000 inhabitants over a period of time.
Read more: The Government published a draft proposal on restrictions on movement – in these 12 cases there is a right to move
In the IS report it was found that the incidence either increases or decreases in many places completely depending on how long the reference period in the incidence is chosen. The most commonly used 14-day incidence rate is problematic in that it contains infections up to two weeks later, with confirmed infection rates being higher than in the previous week. On the other hand, the one-week reference period is sensitive to random fluctuations. IS publishes oven-fresh incidence rates calculated in both ways.
At the level of Finland as a whole, the incidence has been rising in March, but the strong rise now seems to have slowed down. The situation in Finland as a whole can be calculated on the basis of daily reported corona cases, or on the basis of cases entered in the register of communicable diseases. In the Infectious Diseases Register, infections are recorded primarily on the date of sampling.
By location viewed, the situation is much more divided. In almost all major cities, the 14-day incidence is on the rise. The exception is Vantaa, where the figure has been declining for two weeks. In Vantaa, the two-week incidence rate was very high at the beginning of March, and was already approaching the 500 mark.
Although the two-week rate is rising in many places, at the same time, the 7-day incidence rate is falling in almost every locality surveyed. Only Kauniainen and Tampere have been on the rise.
Although indeed, some of the incidences would be declining, the third wave of the corona being strongly visible in hospitals.
313 coronary patients were treated in hospitals on Friday. Of these, 179 were in specialist care and 59 in intensive care. The number of hospital admissions had increased from two weeks ago in 49 coronary patients and 12 intensive care patients.
History has shown that the need for intensive care units is slowly increasing for weeks to come, even if the incidence starts to decline. But the incidence of hospital and intensive care patients has so far always been followed at some point.
Source site www.is.fi